To meet the challenge of epidemic situation, you need such a secret book of customs clearance

The new epidemic has become a part of almost every news report, which has never been so intensive before. The new crown epidemic has penetrated into every pore of people’s consciousness and affected people’s life like war. < / P > < p > it is almost impossible to build a prediction model to predict what will happen in the end. No one can say for sure when the new epidemic emergency will return to normal. No one knows if economic activity will return to pre epidemic levels once infection and mortality rates start to slow. No one can say for sure whether our jobs, employers or industries will survive the crisis. < / P > < p > even if we try to narrow the scope to the technology industry, it is difficult to predict which suppliers will survive intact after this extraordinary period. Which technology enterprises will rebound most rapidly after the new epidemic and its aftermath, and which will not. < / P > < p > a practical forecasting framework is to study the factors leading to “unemployment” in some enterprises. I’ll borrow concepts that often apply to job seekers in the labor force, but I’ll also describe the factors that frustrate businesses in their constant search for customers, sales and revenue. < / P > < p > when many people lose their jobs because their skills can not meet the requirements of their employers, structural unemployment will occur. This is often the case when the skills of many employees are constantly changing due to the technology used by key industries or big employers. The solution is to combine employee retraining with recruiting new people with new skills. < / P > < p > technological changes make competitors who subvert the competition pattern by actively adopting new technologies have lasting advantages. If a company’s operation process becomes obsolete due to this situation, it will become structural unemployment. This is the meaning of “digital transformation”. If customers prefer new technical ways to do business – such as online, mobile, self-service, digital, streaming and AI based, companies that insist on using old technologies are likely to find themselves structurally unemployed. < / P > < p > given the enormous pressure on physical stores and other face-to-face business models, some companies that still rely on these methods are likely not to survive until 2021. < / P > < p > in a recent article, Tim oreilly described possible scenarios in the future: some business winners will provide solutions for sensor based isolation, work efficiency at home, remote online learning, real-time disease monitoring and virtual reality of indirect participation in sports events. < / P > < p > smart cameras will use AI to automatically monitor crowds and power applications, such as household numbers and waiting time measurements, and alert people when they are too close to each other indoors or in public places. < / P > < p > location related mobile applications will rely on AI to correlate map data, showing how people generally follow the social distance rule. The contact tracking app will determine how far away they are from people who are infected with the virus or who may have any other situation. < / P > < p > the post epidemic office layout will be full of biosensors to detect viral pathogens in the air, floors, walls, ceilings, equipment and on each surface. Employees will be asked to wear biosensors in the workplace to track their access to some of the businesses’ wearable devices. Infrared thermal imaging and other AI equipped sensors will be able to actively monitor and screen the infected and carriers in each facility. AI based computer vision will monitor and enforce social distance criteria. < / P > < p > we also hope to see AI based automation disinfect the group work environment. Robotics is the key to this new approach. The suite of intelligent biosensors and robot cleaning platforms will automatically disinfect business premises before employees and customers return. These applications will become an integral part of the facility administrator’s toolkit for managing the sensitive process of undoing work at home commands. They will detect when uninsulated people bring infection sources into clean places, and enable office managers to automatically trigger access restrictions, office warnings, automatic cleaning strategies, and other infrastructure based response mechanisms to prevent or control infection. < / P > < p > UAVs and other automatic driving delivery systems will serve the first line in almost all real scenes, making full use of AI to navigate, manage and manipulate objects, and interact with people. < / P > < p > when making work plans at home, human resources and facility managers of enterprises will use automated site survey, built-in biosensors, augmented reality visualization and AI assisted location intelligence to provide data for them. < / P > < p > 03. If technology enterprises originally let employees “work together” in nearby places instead of working remotely at home, will the work efficiency of employees drop sharply due to the sudden change back to virtual collaboration? < / P > < p > 04. As employees are encouraged to do more work at home, will the huge Office Park of some technology suppliers be empty and become a huge expense on the balance sheet? < / P > < p > 05. If online sales and services become the most popular interactive channel for most customers, can some consumer technology companies that are widely used through the physical retail network keep those stores profitable? < / P > < p > it is not clear whether the face-to-face business model of any technology supplier has been fatally damaged or may be fatally damaged due to the epidemic blockade. Once the current state of emergency is over, the meeting activities may be rescheduled in the case of biological hazard protection measures, employees will return to the fully disinfected office, and retail stores will adopt a new “germ free” operation method to reopen. < / P > < p > structurally, we are now in a virtual world. Therefore, it can be expected that the suppliers who provide virtual life support for us during the epidemic period will rebound as early as possible. Faang will be ahead of others. Similarly, any SaaS provider will be in a good position to welcome rapid growth. Microsoft will also become the favorite of the beneficiaries of virtual, self-service and cloud computing trends. < / P > < p > now, we are living in a cradle woven by them: online, on-demand, self-help, mobile, social, streaming, virtual and cloud computing. Many of these vendors are also investing heavily in AI, automation, robotics, edge computing and the Internet of things. These are key enabling factors so that in the future we don’t need to see and touch other people, or connect with them in other ways. Faang and similar suppliers will enter a technology market in which suppliers who are not prepared for this structural adjustment will fall victim to the epidemic. < / P > < p > on the other hand, customers may be exhausted by maintaining social distance, so that maintaining close social relationships will become popular again, thus offsetting the structural advantages of faang. < / P > < p > when many unemployed people spend a lot of time looking for new jobs, there will be frictional unemployment. Incomplete or inefficient information exchange in the job market makes it difficult for people to find jobs suitable for their skills and salary requirements soon after the epidemic, even though there may be many jobs. < / P > < p > companies have to spend more time than usual to ensure that they have the necessary cash, so that when they get out of trouble in the severe economic situation, there will be frictional unemployment. As the current crisis begins to weaken, technology companies will rebound as quickly as possible if they have a good cash position or have access to credit and other funds to sustain. They can hire people, invest new working capital or look for other ways of development to meet the pent up demand of depressed customers. < / P > < p > fortunately for all of us, this epidemic crisis happened at the end of the longest bull market in the history of the United States. To be more precise, the crisis is at the end of long-term full employment. That means a lot of cash for families. As a result, the investment community can easily find enough funds to provide the necessary funds for any company that is going through the crisis and ready to return to work. Considering that they already have a huge amount of cash, faang and similar companies will be in a favorable position again. < / P > < p > for companies that rely heavily on digital advertising sales for revenue, a clear warning signal has emerged. Recently, Facebook reported that its products and services were greatly used during the epidemic crisis. However, it has also seen a sharp decline in global digital advertising. In addition, many of the services with increased utilization did not generate revenue, which increased management costs without a corresponding increase in revenue. < / P > < p > alphabet, Google’s parent company, said that many of its biggest advertisers have cut back on online advertising spending. It’s a dangerous sign, after all, that the company relies almost entirely on online advertising and is vulnerable to any structured industry far away from advertising supported business models. < / P > < p > when the total demand of economy and society is insufficient to provide jobs for everyone who wants to work, there will be periodic unemployment. This often occurs in recessions: the credit crunch, the stock market crash, the sudden tightening of money supply, and other macro-economic factors together severely restrain aggregate demand for a long time. < / P > < p > whether a technology company can resist any cyclical decline caused by the epidemic depends on whether it can effectively resist the above structural and frictional unemployment challenges, and whether it can maintain a healthy enough balance sheet during this emergency and subsequent periods. < / P > < p > another cyclical recovery factor is whether companies can keep enough valuable assets on their balance sheets at the height of the crisis. If the situation becomes difficult and the company runs out of cash reserves, if it can sell or use key assets to raise funds to get out of the difficulty, until the cyclical wave makes it rise again, the company can rebound strongly. < / P > < p > again, faang and similar enterprises have obvious advantages here. The period we have experienced fully demonstrates the value of cloud computing, digital, streaming media, edge, artificial intelligence and other digital transformation technologies. < / P > < p > even if advertising and subscription revenues dry up during the new crown crisis, all of these companies have a lot of valuable products and services that can be turned into cash at a critical moment. Cash is king, especially when the stock market is depressed and consumers hold their breath and wait for the alarm to be lifted. Straight screen S20! Samsung Galaxy S20 Fe exposure: 1Hz high brush + snapdragon 865